HAS THE AI BUBBLE BURST?

NOT YET
Days since ChatGPT release:
0
Feels longer, doesn't it?
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πŸ“ˆ The Magnificent 5 (AI Edition)

πŸš€ GPT-4 Released
πŸ€– Everyone Panic-Rebranded to AI
πŸ’Έ First "AI Girlfriend" Funding Round
πŸŽͺ "We're All Gonna Die" Phase

πŸ”₯ Bubble Reality Check

We retired the vanity counters and are anchoring everything to actual stock prices.

Average 5-day move across the Not-So-Magnificent 5
β€”
Nvidia's market cap in Trillions (from cached price)
$3.4T

πŸ€” Is This Time Different?

1999
"The internet changes everything"
"Eyeballs > Profits"
"This time it's different"
"Pets.com will revolutionize pet food"
2023-2024
"AI changes everything"
"Users > Revenue"
"This time it's ACTUALLY different"
"AI will replace [insert profession]"

πŸ“Š Live Sentiment Tracker

IT'S SO OVER WE'RE SO BACK

🏭 Nvidia Data Center Bagholders

Static private-market markdown estimates β€” no live pricing feeds here.

CoreWeave
Built on Nvidia GPUs, but the private-market markdowns are stacking up.
Roughly 50% drawdown over the past month as hyperscaler demand cools.
Nebius
Another GPU cloud darling feeling the hangover.
Also staring at ~50% declines as AI infra spending normalizes.